Global economic outlook From impending catastrophe to moderately optimistic? 04-02-2023 06:09 Just as the global economy was heading into an unavoidable recession, sentiment seems to have been reversed and optimism is taking over. by Agustino Fontevecchia
LULA IN BUENOS AIRES Brazil to finance Argentine importers in bid to boost trade ties 23-01-2023 21:42 Loans to Argentine companies will be given by public and private banks in Brazil and covered by guarantees from both governments.
Bull vs. bear Is it Massa, the bull market, or are we about to implode again? 14-01-2023 06:25 We are not walking on the edge of the precipice, but we’re still awfully close, and a small breeze could be enough to destabilise us. by Agustino Fontevecchia
EXCHANGE MARKET Argentina’s black-market peso slumps to record ahead of holidays 29-12-2022 15:33 Argentina's black market exchange rate plunged to a record low this week, with the blue dollar hitting 357 pesos per greenback.
MARKETS Venezuela’s nine-cent bonds lure a distressed-debt veteran 28-12-2022 14:16 Trader raising money to buy defaulted Venezuelan bonds amid signs of easing tensions between President Nicolás Maduro, the political opposition and the United States.
NEW YEAR APPROACHES World economy faces more pain in 2023 after a gloomy year 27-12-2022 09:56 International Monetary Fund expects the world economy to expand in 2023, with growth of 2.7%. The OECD is forecasting 2.2% growth.
MARKETS Latin America debt set for a comeback as politics give a break 12-12-2022 09:59 Dollar-denominated debt from Latin American governments and companies has handed investors returns of more than 10% so far this quarter, outperforming all other regions in an emerging-market index.
ANALYSIS Lula tests markets, picking leftist ex-mayor Haddad as finance boss 12-12-2022 09:53 Former São Paulo Mayor Fernando Hadda, a 59-year-old party loyalist, named as finance minister, following weeks of speculation about who would take on the most challenging job in Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's incoming administration.
Markets Argentina AySA deal said to have critical mass to deter holdouts 03-12-2022 08:14 Any creditors considering holding out for a better deal in a debt restructuring offer from Argentina’s state-owned water utility AySA should probably think again.
BRAZIL ELECTION 2022 Brazil protesters block roads, airport as Bolsonaro stays silent 01-11-2022 11:57 Protests led by truck-drivers escalate; Bolsonaro has refused to make any public comment after losing the presidential run-off to Lula by less than two percentage points – the narrowest margin for a presidential election in the country’s modern history.
CURRENCY CONTROLS Qatar and Coldplay: Argentina multiplies its exchange rates 13-10-2022 01:43 The 'dólar Catar' and 'dólar Coldplay' were added to Argentina's exchange control jargon on Wednesday.
NEW MEASURES New taxes slapped on concerts, spending on cards overseas 12-10-2022 16:04 Aiming to "protect reserves for production and job creation,” the National Government introduces new levies to discourage purchases in dollars with debit and credit cards; New measures affect foreign currency purchases in excess of US$300, trips abroad and luxury goods.
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS British pound collapse erodes international trust in UK 28-09-2022 23:41 The UK thought it had the trust of markets — until it didn’t. Now homeowners and businesses will likely have to pay the price.
MARKETS Investors dodge Argentina bond pain by buying up YPF, provinces 27-09-2022 13:18 Quasi-sovereigns posting best returns in emerging markets; Meanwhile, Argentina’s sovereign bonds slumped more than 35%.
Bloomberg Argentine bond rebound stalls as new minister faces a mountain to climb 18-08-2022 16:53 Initial market confidence in Sergio Massa has faltered. New “super” minister must prove he can turn his promises to slow inflation into reality, as debt rebound decelerates.
Bloomberg New Latin American government bonds are rarest find for EM buyers 05-08-2022 22:16 It’s slim pickings for investors seeking fresh sovereign bonds from Latin America as the region’s pipeline of new foreign debt empties faster than in any other pocket of emerging markets.
Bloomberg Argentina’s bonds rise amid reports of a cabinet shakeup 28-07-2022 15:34 The markets have responded favourably to rumours Economy Minister Silvina Batakis could be replaced by lower house speaker Sergio Massa, which was reported by local media late Wednesday night.
Markets Argentine debt plumbs new depths as political tensions mount 11-07-2022 15:43 Even by the standards of Argentina’s debt crisis and default of 2020, the nation’s sovereign bonds are now trading at unprecedented lows.
Economic crisis Markets react negatively to change of economy minister 04-07-2022 17:30 The peso depreciated sharply against the dollar in the informal market on Monday as investors reacted to the appointment of Silvina Batakis as economy minister.
BLOOMBERG Argentina’s black market peso sinks on economy minister shake-up 04-07-2022 14:16 Argentina’s black market exchange rate tumbled on Monday after left-leaning economist Silvina Batakis was appointed as the new economy minister.
MARKETS Argentines seek hedging in crypto after minister resigns 02-07-2022 22:59 Moves on crypto markets could indicate unease over the growing rift within the ruling coalition and concern over the government’s ability to tackle rising inflation and other economic challenges.
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS Three signs show that Argentina is heading to a devaluation 29-06-2022 22:02 Need to increase the monetary base to meet payments on peso debts and finance spending, plus a drop in agricultural exports and an increase in energy imports, all spell trouble for Argentina's currency.
Bloomberg Government meets June debt rollover goal in key local auction 28-06-2022 21:48 Government sells enough securities to roll over its debt coming due in the month of June in a local debt auction, easing concerns of an immediate financing shortfall.
Finance & Markets 'Blue dollar' continues to rise amid financial turbulence 28-06-2022 17:46 Parallel dollar quoted at 239 for sale, reaching 242 in some provinces; Country risk soars to record high.
Market turbulence Argentina, always playing on ‘hard mode’ 18-06-2022 08:00 Just like during the Mauricio Macri days, a series of external shocks coupled with domestic weakness have made us aware of a troubling thunderstorm on the horizon. by Agustino Fontevecchia
INTERVIEW / PERIODISMO PURO Nicolás Dujovne: ‘This government’s economic programme is inflationary’ 17-06-2022 08:00 Former economy minister Nicolás Dujovne on the Cambiemos administration, the IMF debt deals and Argentina’s ongoing struggle with inflation. by Jorge Fontevecchia
BLOOMBERG Bond chaos in Argentina sparks traders’ rush to provincial notes 25-04-2022 15:36 Investors are snapping up securities issued by the provinces of Córdoba, Neuquén, Mendoza and Chubut, turning them into the nation’s top performers this month.
Bloomberg The carry trade is minting big returns in Latin America again 09-02-2022 15:32 The carry trade is roaring back in Latin America, home to some of the world’s most aggressive inflation-fighting central banks.
BLOOMBERG Argentina’s bonds slump below 30 cents on doubts over IMF deal 21-01-2022 18:18 Argentine bonds are testing new lows as concern grows that the government will struggle to reach a refinancing deal with the International Monetary Fund before large payments come due in March.
Bloomberg Argentine traders bail on devaluation bets, buy inflation bonds 19-01-2022 14:53 Traders are rapidly scaling back purchases of local dollar bonds and instead are plowing money into inflation-linked bonds, a better haven as they see it as consumer prices soar at an annual pace of more than 50 percent.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Blue dollar soars to record high as New Year draws closer 30-12-2021 13:10 Argentina's currency plunged on Wednesday on the parallel market, with the ‘blue’ dollar hitting a record high of 209 pesos, marking a 103 percent gap with the official exchange rate of 108.16 per greenback
NEW CENTRAL BANK RESTRICTIONS Kulfas defends new rules: ‘Middle class has many options for the summer’ 28-11-2021 09:08 Productive Development Minister Matías Kulfas becomes the latest government minister to take to the airwaves to defend new Central Bank rules on credit card purchases in dollars.
ELECTIONS 2021: REACTION Argentina's bonds climb as president promises new plan after vote 15-11-2021 12:32 Bonds gain after voters rejected the government’s handling of the economy in midterm elections and President Alberto Fernández promised to cooperate with opposition lawmakers on a new agenda.
BLOOMBERG Argentine stocks bet on government to suffer setbacks in vote 11-11-2021 15:20 Argentine stocks have posted the world's biggest rally this month as investors increase bets that this weekend's midterm elections will strengthen the power of the opposition.
FINANCIAL TURBULENCE Currency turbulence continues: Blue dollar closes at 199 05-11-2021 18:26 In the last three weeks, the 'blue' dollar has soared 15 pesos, widening the gap over the official exchange rate and adding to inflationary pressures.
CURRENCY Pre-election jitters send blue dollar, country risk rate soaring 22-10-2021 21:56 Peso weakens in parallel and informal exchange rates, sending JP Morgan ‘country risk’ rate soaring.
BRAZIL UNDER BOLSONARO Bolsonaro welfare plan shakes Brazil markets, sparks resignations 22-10-2021 10:36 Brazilian president's move to dramatically increase welfare payments to the country's underprivileged groups, a year ahead of crucial elections, shakes up markets and triggers resignations.
BLOOMBERG La Niña arrives, threatening to stoke droughts and roil markets 14-10-2021 16:12 A weather-roiling La Niña appears to have emerged across the equatorial Pacific, setting the stage for worsening droughts in California and South America and greater risks for the world’s already strained energy and food supplies.
BLOOMBERG – ANALYSIS Argentina investors got election wish, then got hammered anyway 04-10-2021 10:01 Argentina’s primary election went just the way investors wanted, but since then bonds have taken a nose dive.
Bloomberg Argentina’s CNV mulls allowing foreign listings on local markets 02-10-2021 07:56 National Securities Commission calls for public consultation to potentially allow foreign issuers to list securities on Argentina's local markets.
MARKETS Argentina’s bonds sink as president swears in new Cabinet 20-09-2021 15:55 Argentina’s dollar bonds and US-traded equities slid on Monday, with the local benchmark index posting the worst returns among indexes in the Americas.
BLOOMBERG Priciest food since 1970s is a big challenge for governments 15-09-2021 10:41 Governments across the world know that rising food costs can come with a political price. The dilemma is whether they can do enough to prevent having to pay it.
MARKET REACTION Argentine bonds, stocks gain after vote signals change ahead 13-09-2021 21:00 Prices for the government’s most traded dollar-denominated bond jumped almost four percent to the highest since January, while the cost to insure its debt against default fell to a three-week low. The Global X MSCI Argentina exchange-traded fund added 2.2 percent.
BLOOMBERG Bonds rally on opposition gains in primary vote 13-09-2021 11:22 Argentine bonds rose on Monday morning after opposition candidates performed better than expected in the PASO primary elections.
BLOOMBERG In oddball Argentina, provinces seen as safer than sovereign 23-08-2021 13:10 Over the past three months, overseas bonds issued by provinces have handily outperformed sovereign counterparts, cementing their status as the preferred choice for investors.
BLOOMBERG Argentina tightens capital controls ahead of midterm elections 13-08-2021 14:11 Regulators tighten screws on so-called blue-chip operations, where investors buy assets in pesos and sell them abroad in dollars to obtain foreign currency.
BLOOMBERG Central Bank sells dollars for first time since April 03-08-2021 14:53 Central Bank sells greenbacks for the first time in three months, amid electoral nervousness and high inflation.
Bloomberg MercadoLibre, BigCommerce ally to boost US sales to Latin America 21-07-2021 10:46 MercadoLibre partners with Texas-based BigCommerce Holdings to give the online-shopping software-maker’s web merchants access to a new region.
Bloomberg Yields topping 14% lure investors to world’s best utility bond 14-07-2021 10:14 The world’s best performing utility bonds come from an unlikely corner of emerging markets – Argentina.
Cash money ‘Experts in regulated markets’ 03-07-2021 23:22 Argentina’s ‘experts in regulated markets’ are making big bets just at the right time. by Agustino Fontevecchia