News of argentina election analysis

As Argentina surges back, peso shows limit to Milei euphoria

28-10-2025 10:46 Argentina officials have repeatedly said they aren’t planning on enacting any changes to the current exchange-rate policy. As trading wore on Monday, the currency steadily pulled back from its early morning surge.

Why Argentines backed Milei in the midterm elections

27-10-2025 12:40 Javier Milei pulled off a stunning win in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda. After two years of economic hardship, why did voters back the La Libertad Avanza leader at the polls?

Milei, the two Caputos and the two anchors

25-10-2025 06:08 Milei and the two Caputos have the path laid out for them. The “two anchors” that will give them a future are tied to applying the necessary adaptations to the economic policy plan and creating the conditions for circumstantial legislative majorities. This situation appears possible under any electoral scenario, even a potent Peronist victory.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

151 shades of grey

25-10-2025 05:58 Voters are being asked to select not the next president but 127 deputies and 24 senators for which 217 lists are contending in the 23 provinces and this City with a total 1,648 candidates. The multiplicity of combinations arising from these numbers points to an infinity of results, each one of which would make the parliamentary negotiations lying ahead slightly different with no chance of any overall majority – 151 shades of grey.

by Michael Soltys

‘Panic Show’ name of the game

11-10-2025 06:00 We are told that the choice is “libertad or kirchnerismo” but neither libertarians nor Kirchnerism will be able to do very much with the 110 of the 257 seats accruing to whoever wins – Argentina’s middle ground has far less seats than Brazil’s "centrão" but could carry equivalent clout.

by Michael Soltys

Espert's dirty financing

04-10-2025 06:45 On José Luis Espert’s ties with a suspected drug dealer and the libertarian obsession with coin.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

How Milei raised the bar and paid the price in Buenos Aires Province

13-09-2025 06:54 The market and the political ecosystem, seems to have recalibrated its expectations, putting further financial pressure on the government.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

The end of Milei’s single-issue government

13-09-2025 06:30 Until now, the Milei administration has been a single-issue government, working under the notion that a fiscal surplus will fix the country’s entire problems. The public does not seem to be OK with that anymore.

by Marcelo J. García

Brow-beaten Milei nears Argentina's 'third year' syndrome

08-09-2025 20:48 Milei is still around 90 days short of the start of his third year, but the defeat in the Buenos Aires Province election means the countdown to the nationwide October 26 midterms is on.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

The endogenous crises of Javier Milei

06-09-2025 07:13 The crises the government is suffering from are endogenous – their origin lies in Milei and his team’s decision to fly solo with their economic and political strategies.

by Marcelo J. García

On a mission in omission

07-06-2025 06:34 Voting for provincial deputies in Misiones is more likely to be a landslide for the local ruling party than any electoral earthquake.

by Michael Soltys

CFK's return risks dividing opposition in boon for Milei

03-06-2025 14:22 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's decision to run in September’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province will set the stage for the national midterm vote the following month.

New songs and Peronism

10-05-2025 07:50 Kirchnerism has no lyrics for its new songs – every intervention by CFK against Milei is always geared to the economic terrain, but from the perspective of his collapse and not improving on his achievements.

by Jorge Fontevecchia

Four-by-four voting

10-05-2025 07:20 Next weekend’s City race hogs the electoral limelight but there is voting even closer in time – like tomorrow when four provinces will be advancing their midterms.

by Michael Soltys

Move over Javi, the Big Boss is back

09-11-2024 06:24 The return of Donald Trump, the undisputed 'top dog' of the new right, will consolidate a global movement that, up until now, appeared to be somewhat disjointed.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Welcome to the New Political Order

09-11-2024 06:01 Trump’s victory and the Brexit referendum in 2016 marked the first significant political manifestations of a change of order. Trump’s impressive comeback this week appears to solidify it further. The next question is where President Javier Milei fits into this puzzle.

by Marcelo J. García

Living in Milei’s world

25-11-2023 14:22 These initial steps are positive in maintaining the situation from blowing up but they are insufficient in and of themselves. Not only would this cordiality and cooperation have to be maintained over time, Milei’s strategy would actually have to work.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Method in his madness?

25-11-2023 14:16 Javier Milei’s solitary rise to the top from almost nowhere in a couple of years is more apparent than real. The key to this success is more like the solution to Agatha Christie’s 'Murder on the Orient Express' – they all did it.

by Michael Soltys

Argentina’s heartland shows quandary of election choice few want

17-11-2023 07:24 Argentina’s electoral dilemma is arguably felt most acutely in Cordoba, where 1.2 million voters opted for neither of the candidates in the run-off — the highest percentage of any district in the country.

It’s up to you

11-11-2023 05:46 Reader, it is up to you. Choose wisely. ​