News of argentina election analysis

And so it (almost) ends

06-12-2025 06:00 Quite apart from the uncertainties over Lorena Villaverde’s Senate entry, Congress has been the scene of musical chairs with its first minority changing in the course of this week.

by Michael Soltys

The tectonic fracture of Argentina’s economy

29-11-2025 05:20 This is a game-changer for Argentina’s economy, anticipated for years and slowly happening. Milei has contributed to this outcome, but it is not solely the result of his actions. He is, however, the President that – if he does things right – will benefit from it.

by Marcelo J. García

What to do with a problem like Cristina?

04-11-2025 13:58 For a decade now, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and those aligned with her have been — fairly or unfairly — a negative symbol for a majority of society. Just as there is a hard core who respect or idolise her, there are broad sectors who would never again vote for any candidate backed by her.

by Gustavo González

Javier Milei superstar

01-11-2025 06:40 Winning the election saved the administration from making immediate and desperate corrections from a position of weakness, but it does not save them from making changes altogether.

by Marcelo J. García

Why Argentines backed Milei in the midterm elections

27-10-2025 12:40 Javier Milei pulled off a stunning win in Sunday's midterm elections, boosting his flagging reform agenda. After two years of economic hardship, why did voters back the La Libertad Avanza leader at the polls?

Voters hand Milei belated birthday present, post-mortem for Peronism overdue

27-10-2025 00:21 Peronism’s renovation is well overdue. It seems Argentines would much rather carry on along Milei’s path of uncertainty and sacrifice than go back to reach the future.

by James Grainger

151 shades of grey

25-10-2025 05:58 Voters are being asked to select not the next president but 127 deputies and 24 senators for which 217 lists are contending in the 23 provinces and this City with a total 1,648 candidates. The multiplicity of combinations arising from these numbers points to an infinity of results, each one of which would make the parliamentary negotiations lying ahead slightly different with no chance of any overall majority – 151 shades of grey.

by Michael Soltys

On raucous outsiders and statesmen

18-10-2025 06:47 The Milei administration has shown time and time again they lack the capacity to build sustainable political alliances and that stubbornness on the economic front has led to the repetition of mistakes from the recent past. The President has shown that when political momentum is on his side, he abuses good fortune to castigate political opponents and preach cultural war.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

Espert's dirty financing

04-10-2025 06:45 On José Luis Espert’s ties with a suspected drug dealer and the libertarian obsession with coin.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

A spooky Halloween earlier this month?

04-10-2025 06:38 To lay any claim to a positive result, pundits suggest that Milei would need to be the leading minority with at least 35 percent of the vote. The first objective looks like a done deal since LLA is the only nationwide contender.

by Michael Soltys

The end of Milei’s single-issue government

13-09-2025 06:30 Until now, the Milei administration has been a single-issue government, working under the notion that a fiscal surplus will fix the country’s entire problems. The public does not seem to be OK with that anymore.

by Marcelo J. García

Blast from the past

13-09-2025 06:09 Last Sunday’s election was very much the mayoral tail wagging the dog and here we’re not just talking about Greater Buenos Aires Peronist “barons” – almost the only successes of third parties came thanks to the PRO mayors bucking the Milei alliance, proving mayoral clout beyond the general trend.

by Michael Soltys

The endogenous crises of Javier Milei

06-09-2025 07:13 The crises the government is suffering from are endogenous – their origin lies in Milei and his team’s decision to fly solo with their economic and political strategies.

by Marcelo J. García

Greedy and corrupt libertarians?

23-08-2025 06:15 Smear campaign tactics are a defining characteristic of the Argentine political ecosystem during the electoral season. Corruption has risen as a preoccupation for everyday citizens, but it is still the economy that will determine whether or not Milei is successful.

by Agustino Fontevecchia

CFK's return risks dividing opposition in boon for Milei

03-06-2025 14:22 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's decision to run in September’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province will set the stage for the national midterm vote the following month.

Milei chooses to ignore emerging consensuses

31-05-2025 06:23 With less than five months to the midterm vote, nothing seems to be standing in the way of a good result for the government. But Milei 2025 should already start thinking about Milei 2027

by Marcelo J. García

Four-by-four voting

10-05-2025 07:20 Next weekend’s City race hogs the electoral limelight but there is voting even closer in time – like tomorrow when four provinces will be advancing their midterms.

by Michael Soltys

The shepherd who lost his country

26-04-2025 05:00 Argentina electing Milei, just as an Argentine was running the Vatican on a unifying message, is as if John Paul II had seen his Polish compatriots vote for a version of Joseph Stalin, rather than Lech Wałęsa.

by Marcelo J. García

Welcome to the New Political Order

09-11-2024 06:01 Trump’s victory and the Brexit referendum in 2016 marked the first significant political manifestations of a change of order. Trump’s impressive comeback this week appears to solidify it further. The next question is where President Javier Milei fits into this puzzle.

by Marcelo J. García

Milei’s magical thinking about a Trump victory

02-11-2024 07:38 Argentina — or Latin America, for that matter — will not be an immediate priority for any incoming US administration, though Milei may leverage his ideological rapport with a potential President Trump.

by Marcelo J. García