BEYOND THE HEADLINES Is there life after presidency? 10-08-2024 05:12 If vice-presidents have historically been a pebble in the shoe for heads of state, ex-presidents have also been a factor worthy of mention. by Michael Soltys
Beyond the headlines Work in regress? 29-06-2024 04:27 How can having a job continue to be synonymous with making a living if there are around seven times as many people below the poverty line as jobless? by Michael Soltys
Beyond the headlines Friends will not always be friends 08-06-2024 05:49 Professionalism is plunging to new lows under a president who at times seems to take the first half of his self-definition of “anarcho-capitalist” just as seriously as the second. by Michael Soltys
Beyond the headlines When the essential is invisible 01-06-2024 05:05 In Argentina, the urgent is forever crowding out the important. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Going to the dogs? 16-12-2023 07:20 This final election 2023 column concludes a series running the length of the campaign – now it’s time to detail the resulting political architecture in the present tense. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS They also serve… 02-12-2023 10:23 That stateside visit threw something of a spanner into what is anyway very much a stop-go process of transition and Cabinet-building – Milei would seem anxious to remind people of the first half of his self-definition as an anarcho-capitalist. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Method in his madness? 25-11-2023 14:16 Javier Milei’s solitary rise to the top from almost nowhere in a couple of years is more apparent than real. The key to this success is more like the solution to Agatha Christie’s 'Murder on the Orient Express' – they all did it. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow 18-11-2023 06:42 Democratic voting in Argentina ran on the basis of simple majorities until 1972 when that system was a non-starter for a military régime since it would guarantee victory for a Juan Domingo Perón. In order to give themselves the faint chance of the anti-Peronist chunk of society outnumbering the Peronist masses if obliged to vote en bloc, they introduced a system whereby nothing short of an absolute majority would permit victory in the first round. by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments Run-up to run-off II 11-11-2023 05:40 If everybody assumed Milei to be the next president after his PASO primary upset with Massa massively favoured following last month’s turnaround, the wheel could be turning full circle again. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Run-up to run-off 04-11-2023 05:37 If we have had two straight surprises in the voting so far this year, why not three? by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Crouching tiger, hidden lion 28-10-2023 04:18 Fear of the unknown is such a conservative emotion that instead people ended up clinging to the status quo, inflation and scandals included. by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments Expecting every voter to do their duty 21-10-2023 05:51 While tomorrow’s election is widely seen as a three-cornered affair (like the hats in the times of Trafalgar), all three of its fleets tend to believe that there are only two sides. Could tomorrow’s election echo the battle by ultimately leading to a breakdown of existing alliances with a new Argentina eventually resulting? by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments The pit and the pendulum II 14-10-2023 05:22 The pit and the pendulum feed each other with “the worse, the better” logic, appealing to most candidates with Milei’s advice against renewing fixed-term peso deposits the outstanding example. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The pit and the pendulum 07-10-2023 06:22 Neither last Sunday’s debate nor the passage of eight weeks have produced any paradigmatic shift from the three-way tie of the PASO primary. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Hat-trick or the third wheel? 30-09-2023 05:07 Any win helps and far more so when the margin of Alfredo Cornejo’s victory in Mendoza surpassed all expectations. But does this injection of enthusiasm reviving optimism reach the dimensions of a game-changer for Patricia Bullrich? by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Will Mendoza be the bulldozer? 23-09-2023 05:03 Whichever way Mendoza goes, it will be the last throw of the dice before general election day on October 22. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS It’s the election, stupid! 16-09-2023 05:37 By all but abolishing income tax, Massa has also abolished the contradiction between his simultaneous economic stewardship and presidential candidacy by chucking away his ministerial hat in favour of his electioneering cap. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Do you know the way to Santa Fe? 09-09-2023 05:32 The three-way split with half the electorate potentially up for grabs opens up infinite mathematical possibilities. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Neither ready nor steady but still go 02-09-2023 06:24 Is there any structure beneath the protest vote foam – is there any iceberg below the tip? by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Milei – melee or millennial? 26-08-2023 06:00 The Milei vote can be seen as a backlash against impoverishment, laid at the door of a regime belittling self-made wealth, meritocracy and savings. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Two’s grieta, three’s a crowd 19-08-2023 06:01 While we are constantly told that Greater Buenos Aires is the “mother of all battles” deciding every election, Javier Milei’s win was hinterland payback, winning 16 of the 23 provinces, all inland – the mirror image of his 2021 midterm electoral advent by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Santa Fe not so holy or faithful 15-07-2023 06:56 Turning to tomorrow’s PASO primary in Santa Fe, the mutual backstabbing within Juntos por el Cambio mentioned above is far from absent there – indeed nowhere else is the internal warfare more open. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The elections according to Saint John 08-07-2023 06:59 San Juan is not an especially attractive city for tourists but it does have an uncanny knack for being a venue for key turning-points in Argentine political history. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The men in the middle 01-07-2023 08:46 Hard not to read this as an unmitigated defeat for Cristina Fernández de Kirchner but those who see her as the ultimate political genius view this as a cunning move to leave Massa holding the baby for an inevitable national defeat while tightening her own grip on pivotal Buenos Aires Province. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Northwest by northeast 24-06-2023 01:22 We will have to await Chaco’s final provincial elections on September 17 to see how many degrees last Sunday’s political earthquake rated on the Richter scale. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Toward zero 17-06-2023 06:10 This is an election in which anything could happen – and also nothing, as is occurring in province after province. Pseudo-change in San Luis and a rock-solid majority in Tucumán attest to an underlying provincial continuity at all odds with a volatile national scenario. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Of infighting and inland voting 10-06-2023 06:27 The deadline for defining electoral alliances nationwide expires in only four days’ time but tomorrow’s provincial elections are even more immediate … Tucumán is looking safe for the Frente de Todos government while San Luis could be close. by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments Umpteen candidates in search of an author 03-06-2023 06:08 If Horacio Rodríguez Larreta had again thwarted Mauricio Macri plans by imposing Fernán Quirós over Jorge Macri, this would have been three strikes and out in the PRO founder’s esteem – a hostility potentially fatal to the outgoing City mayor’s presidential ambitions.
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS A no-win election 27-05-2023 06:45 The fact remains that the last three people to run Argentina have all opted to sit this election out. The only question here is what lies behind their “fear to tread.” by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Under the volcano 20-05-2023 07:00 If three-quarters of the disenchanted in Tierra del Fuego preferred to vote blank than for an explicitly libertarian candidate, who is to say this might not be replicated nationwide? by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS To vote or not to vote 13-05-2023 08:45 However cavalier the strongmen of these two inland provinces have been with constitutional limits in seeking multiple consecutive terms, the last-minute timing of the Supreme Court’s interruption of the electoral process is extremely unfortunate, lending itself easily to government outrage. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Three’s a crowd 06-05-2023 06:47 Tomorrow is Jujuy’s turn to go to the polls together with La Rioja and Misiones – can lightning strike twice? by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Out of the pink (house) and into the blue 29-04-2023 06:55 In a country where the urgent almost invariably displaces the important, Alberto Fernández’s premature entry into “lame duck” status has had immediate consequences. by Michael Soltys
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS PRO or provincial? 21-04-2023 09:56 Does the end of six decades of one-party rule in Neuquén mark a new era for the province now and for the nation later this year? by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments April is the cruellest month 08-04-2023 06:02 The results of the local elections so far are puzzling – incumbents winning in often heavy turnouts when opinion poll after opinion poll is telling us that there are masses of angry and alienated voters out there. by Michael Soltys
And that reminds me… Marching in March 24-03-2023 12:49 There is every reason to keep Memory Day alive for generations to come. by Michael Soltys
And that reminds me… A day for wearing green but also black 18-03-2023 03:56 Since 1992 Saint Patrick’s Day has had to co-exist with an appalling tragedy in Argentina at least – the terrorist car-bomb destruction of the Israeli Embassy. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Pebbles in the shoes of the fisherman 11-03-2023 03:16 Even if Jorge Bergoglio was actively encouraging slum priests at grass roots level from the start, he was doing good by stealth while his media splashes largely served to perpetuate the conservative image of the hierarchy. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… State of the nation 04-03-2023 05:59 The state-of-the nation speech to open Congress tradition long predates that experience, going all the way back to 1864 and then-president Bartolomé Mitre. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Lupín and the Liberator 25-02-2023 08:08 This is not just about José de San Martín but also the other birthday boy Néstor Kirchner. The question arises whether the two men had anything in common beyond their date of birth… by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… CFK: Threescore and ten 18-02-2023 06:05 A very happy birthday to you, Madam Vice-President. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Candles in the wind 11-02-2023 07:00 Perhaps it is the frequency of savage crimes which creates the need to single one out in order to restore inhumanity to human dimensions. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Oktoberfest in January 27-01-2023 10:59 With German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in town this coming week, the Teutonic presence in Argentina seems as good a topic for today’s column as any. by Michael Soltys
And that reminds me… Court between a rock and a hard place 21-01-2023 06:56 Both the 1947 and the 2002-2003 purges accomplished their missions but we may well be taking current events too seriously if we expect a similar outcome now.
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Grande irmão 14-01-2023 06:58 Lula might have rallied a hostile Congress, the Supreme Court and most people behind him in outrage against last Sunday’s barbarous assault but nobody wins. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… The Cup runneth over 23-12-2022 15:16 Over and above singling out Messi, Martínez and Di María, this trophy is a triumph of teamwork, not a one-man show. by Michael Soltys
And that reminds me… Dry rot or drought rout 17-12-2022 05:32 Argentina’s numerous crises are invariably a fertile field for extended analysis by pundits and economists but this columnist would argue that in many cases the causes can be reduced to a single word – drought. by Michael Soltys
And that reminds me… The 39 steps 10-12-2022 04:45 Raúl Alfonsín’s election victory and inauguration gave most people every impression of a fresh start even if a Radical party then nearing its centenary could hardly be described as a new force. by Michael Soltys
AND THAT REMINDS ME… Hebe de Bonafini, 1928-2022 26-11-2022 06:44 The traumas of 1977, when Hebe de Bonafini lost both her sons, were the turning-point in her life, taking her from complete obscurity to a place in Argentine history and even the world spotlight. by Michael Soltys