Analysing Argentina Forget about October, what matters is the day after 30-08-2025 06:59 After the elections, Milei will not have the benefit of the doubt anymore. Expectations will be higher, just as reality might get tougher. by Marcelo J. García
EDITORIAL Audios rather more than hearsay 30-08-2025 06:37 No room for innocence where squeezing kickbacks out of the medicine for around a million disabled people is concerned – arguably the most vulnerable sector of society.
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Swimming against the current 30-08-2025 06:04 The undecided in Corrientes could just top up Juan Pablo Valdés over the 40 percent needed to ensure first-round victory, although the current Zeitgeist of voter apathy would make it likelier for them to sit this one out. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Milei’s poll numbers take a hit amid bribery scandal claims 29-08-2025 07:33 One week out from key elections in Buenos Aires Province, the popularity of Argentina’s President has hit a slump – but will scandalous graft claims be enough to damage his chances at the ballot-box? by James Grainger
POLITICS Milei calls bribery scandal a lie after facing ‘rain of rocks’ 28-08-2025 16:22 “This week’s operation is nothing more than another item on the long list of tricks by the caste and, like all the previous ones, just another lie,” declares President in speech to business leaders.
MONETARY POLICY Argentina rolls over debt in relief for battered currency 27-08-2025 21:48 Government successfully rolls over large batch of local debt in auction; Milei administration has tightened monetary policy in past few weeks to defend peso.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Milei pelted with stones by opponents on campaign trail 27-08-2025 21:42 President attacked with stones while campaigning in Lomas de Zamora, but escapes unharmed; Developing scandal piles pressure on government.
MONETARY POLICY Milei digs in to defend peso before midterm elections 27-08-2025 11:16 President Javier Milei is ratcheting up his defence of Argentina’s currency ahead of another massive local debt auction.
EDITORIAL Veto swings and roundabouts 23-08-2025 07:04 The best way for Milei to defend his cherished fiscal surplus would not be knee-jerk vetoes but to present a budget – something which will require thinking outside the box and not just the chainsaw.
Analysing Argentina How can the new centrists kill polarisation? 23-08-2025 07:01 The centre might be the only viable solution for a country like Argentina, but who would vote for a dull, rationality-driven politician when you have the angry mob? by Marcelo J. García
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Analysts give their take on the electoral slates for October election 23-08-2025 06:46 La Libertad Avanza’s hegemonic project, a Peronist survival bid and an accepted secondary role for PRO. Milei versus Kirchnerism polarisation promises to be the dominant theme of the campaign heading into October. by Giselle Leclercq
Campaign comments Ins and outs of Congress 23-08-2025 06:42 Almost all those deputies taking their leave would doubtless be rubbished by President Milei as “caste” but most carry a political weight far from evident in their prospective replacements. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei comes out swinging as setbacks pile up before key vote 21-08-2025 18:09 President Javier Milei suffers rapid-fire political, economic and financial setbacks as his most daunting electoral test yet draws near.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS Economy extends downturn in June before midterms 20-08-2025 23:12 Economic activity fell 0.7% from May, below economists’ estimates for a 0.2% dip.
ELECTION 2025: POLLING Poll: Milei alliance with PRO could pay off in October midterms 20-08-2025 09:53 Management & Fit survey shows LLA-PRO ticket polling 15 points ahead of Kirchnerism as midterms loom; No other force surpasses 10 points.
BOLIVIAN ELECTION 2025 From TikTok to frontrunner: Rodrigo Paz's presidential campaign in Bolivia 20-08-2025 09:15 Rodrigo Paz is hardly an outsider. His experience in politics runs two decades deep, having served as mayor, councillor, deputy and senator. His popularity has only grown since adding Edman Lara – nicknamed "Captain Lara" – to the ticket as vice-president.
BOLIVIAN ELECTION 2025 Voters end two decades of socialist rule in Bolivia 18-08-2025 12:52 Voters sent two pro-business candidates to Bolivia’s presidential election run-off, ending two decades of almost-uninterrupted socialist rule.
Campaign comments Jousting in the lists 16-08-2025 06:30 In broad terms, President Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza will be flying solo in half the country whereas Peronism is presenting a united front in three-quarters of the districts, including all the most important except Córdoba. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Between heaven and hell 16-08-2025 06:22 As Milei and his economic team struggle to contain financial stress, his popularity and therefore expected electoral victory is under threat. by Agustino Fontevecchia
BOLIVIAN ELECTION Evo Morales threatens mass protests if Bolivia swings right 13-08-2025 12:44 Evo Morales vows stiff resistance to any liberal reforms, should a right-wing candidate emerge triumphant in the upcoming general election.
Bolivia elections 2025 Bolivia’s right wing on cusp of power in vote in 20-year first 12-08-2025 12:46 Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge Quiroga lead the polls for the August 17 elections in Bolivia. One is a former president and the other a millionaire – either one is likely put an end to two decades of left-wing governments.
BOLIVIAN ELECTIONS 2025 Quiroga, Doria Medina, Rodríguez – Three candidates to watch in Bolivia's election 12-08-2025 11:39 A closer look at Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga, Samuel Doria Medina, Andrónico Rodríguez ahead of this Sunday's election.
Elections in Bolvia Bolivian right extends its polling lead in race for president 11-08-2025 16:42 Business magnate Samuel Doria Medina and ex-president Jorge Quiroga lead the polls heading into Sunday's election in Bolivia, which is likely to see the left ejected from power.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Candidate debate: Decisive week for Argentina’s political forces 11-08-2025 12:08 Political parties are locked in last-minute negotiations to finalise their candidate lists before Sunday’s registration deadline; LLA-PRO alliance confirmed as PJ inks Fuerza Patria front in just over half of provinces.
Editorial Thinking outside the box 09-08-2025 06:22 For both government and opposition, the question is more or less spending on pensions with few stopping to consider how more can come out of less.
POLITICS - ANALYSIS Dirty politics in Buenos Aires Province and the risk of violence 28-07-2025 15:12 Libertarian coalition sparked the implosion and successive fragmentation of Argentina’s dysfunctional political system. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSING ARGENTINA A big win in midterms would be bad news for Milei 20-07-2025 19:05 A huge victory might encourage Milei and his team to stick to the peso appreciation which is both keeping inflation down and pleasing the upper and high-middle classes of Argentina. by Marcelo J. García
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Caputo’s ‘buy ‘em up champ’ and Milei’s ‘Epstein moment’ 20-07-2025 17:32 Leonardo Scaturicce is said to have been instrumental in staffing the DGI tax office which remains under operational control of Santiago Caputo, as does the SIDE spy agency. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ECONOMY – ANALYSIS Inflation ticked up slightly last month, less than expected 14-07-2025 18:54 Inflation ticked up slightly but less than expected in June, another win for President Javier Milei ahead of midterm elections.
elections 2025 Peronism closes ranks in Buenos Aires Province, launches ‘Fuerza Patria’ 10-07-2025 17:05 Kicillof, Massa, and Máximo seal express alliance for the September 7 legislative election; Deputy Governor Verónica Magario rumoured to be leading key ticket in third electoral district.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 La Libertad Avanza, PRO ink alliance in Buenos Aires Province 09-07-2025 14:49 Parties led by Macri and Milei agree to join forces in key battleground region for September 7 election; Alliance, formalised by Ritondo and Pareja, offers a united front against Kirchnerism on Peronism’s home turf.
Campaign comments The autumn of the patriarch 05-07-2025 07:19 Gildo Insfrán’s power stems from the provincial government being by far Formosa’s biggest employer with less than six percent of the workforce having formal jobs in the private sector, boosted by shameless patronage. by Michael Soltys
Elections 2025: Santa Fe Province Monteverde leads Peronism to first triumph in Rosario in half-decade 01-07-2025 19:14 Peronism emerges with victory in Rosario for first time in 52 years; Ruling party holds provincial capital.
ELECTIONS 2025: FORMOSA Insfrán and PJ scores landslide win in Formosa 01-07-2025 13:11 Governor Gildo Insfrán’s ruling party scores major victory, with Partido Justicialista taking 67% of votes for provincial deputies; Result likely to pave way for controversial reform of provincial constitution, another run for office for eight-term Peronist veteran.
Campaign comments Midterms in midyear 28-06-2025 07:24 Given the total inability of the protagonists in Buenos Aires Province to get their act together, the midterms still four months away are looking more like candidates for “It’s the economy, stupid” than ever. by Michael Soltys
Campaign comments Begin the begin 21-06-2025 06:28 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner is paradoxically sidelined and occupying centre stage at the same time. With her exclusion from any electoral candidacy, the campaign effectively starts again. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Chronicle of a guilty sentence foretold 14-06-2025 06:34 There is an unwritten rule that the Supreme Court does not intervene in electoral processes. But something different happened here, forcing the tribunal to rule and accept it would be questioned for blocking one of Argentina’s most popular politicians from running. Internal rumblings of the highest political order as the triumvirate attempts to mask its fractures. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CRISTINA & THE COURTS Nation's highest tribunal upholds ex-president's prison sentence 10-06-2025 18:34 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner will have to serve a six-year prison sentence – likely under house arrest – and will be permanently disqualified from holding political office after the Supreme Court upheld her corruption conviction.
CFK GRAFT CONVICTION Top court bans CFK from public office for life 10-06-2025 17:56 Argentina’s Supreme Court upholds former president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s fraud conviction.
EX-PRESIDENT CONDEMNED Supreme Court confirms Fernández de Kirchner corruption conviction 10-06-2025 16:02 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's conviction in so-called 'Vialidad' corruption trial confirmed by Argentina's Supreme Court; Former president's intention to run for seat in Buenos Aires Province Legislature blocked by ruling upholding prison sentence and lifetime ban on holding public office.
ELECTIONS 2025: MISIONES Ruling party prevails in Misiones, but La Libertad Avanza steals show 09-06-2025 13:10 Frente Renovador de la Concordia alliance technically renews dominance in provincial vote, but La Libertad Avanza – after deploying its big guns on the campaign trail last weekend – storms to a strong second place.
CRISTINA & THE COURTS Supreme Court revising Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s corruption conviction 07-06-2025 18:12 Nation’s highest tribunal is reviewing former president’s graft conviction in the ‘Vialidad’ conviction; Decision on whether to uphold sentence and enforce ban on public office creeps closer and may derail her intended candidacy in Buenos Aires Province.
Campaign comments On a mission in omission 07-06-2025 06:34 Voting for provincial deputies in Misiones is more likely to be a landslide for the local ruling party than any electoral earthquake. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS CFK's return risks dividing opposition in boon for Milei 03-06-2025 14:22 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner's decision to run in September’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province will set the stage for the national midterm vote the following month.
POLITICS: MIDTERMS 2025 Fernández de Kirchner to run for office in Buenos Aires Province 02-06-2025 22:44 Cristina Fernández de Kirchner brands President Javier Milei a “marginal figure” at the head of a “very cruel” government; Former head of state says she will run for office in this year’s legislative elections in Buenos Aires Province.
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Where angels fear to tread 31-05-2025 06:33 The demolition job suffered by PRO in the City has most provinces now thinking twice about advancing their elections and exposing local hegemonies to the forces of heaven. by Michael Soltys
Analysing Argentina Milei chooses to ignore emerging consensuses 31-05-2025 06:23 With less than five months to the midterm vote, nothing seems to be standing in the way of a good result for the government. But Milei 2025 should already start thinking about Milei 2027 by Marcelo J. García
Editorial One small step or a giant leap? 24-05-2025 06:50 La Libertad Avanza’s triumph in the City has been celebrated as a virtual game-changer. Yet the cost of winning over the PRO electorate might have been starting to resemble that party.
Campaign comments Milei’s purple patch 24-05-2025 06:38 The headlines all reflect a Milei triumph and a PRO catastrophe (the government objectives in almost equal measure), both accurate enough but also relative. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Battle royale 24-05-2025 06:27 Politically, Milei is the son of fragmentation. Now, he’s consolidating his forces thanks to the weakness of dispersed opponents. by Agustino Fontevecchia