Analysing Argentina LatAm on the run (from Trump) Today 07:04 Latin American leaders are scrambling to adapt to the new reality in which the United States can impose its will on the hemisphere. by Marcelo J. García
BEYOND THE HEADLINES Is Vaca Muerta now a dead cow – and EU-Mercosur deal a cherubic baby? Today 00:12 Today will go down as a historic day with the world’s biggest free-trade area numbering over 700 million consumers signed into being in the Paraguayan capital of Asunción. by Michael Soltys
Political insider Summer waves and espionage 15-01-2026 16:25 To date, four lawsuits have been filed at different courtrooms seeking to declare Javier Milei’s decree empowering the domestic intelligence services and adding uncontrolled multi-million funds unconstitutional. For espionage, the presidential chainsaw has turned into a blunt knife. by Javier Calvo
Business, politics & losses The fall of the Bolivarian régime and its ruinous fallout for Argentina 13-01-2026 15:18 Argentina’s economic relationship with the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela left a negative balance difficult to hide. From Hugo Chávez’s financial loans to Néstor Kirchner to failed trade agreements, expropriations and non-payments, the link translated into lost dollars, lost markets and troubled national companies. Bonds with usurious interest rates, unpaid exports, truncated energy projects and forced nationalisations marked almost three decades of a political alliance which, in economic terms, proved to be costly and ruinous for the country. by Carlos Burgueño
GEOPOLITICS The dictator, the imperialist and the new world order 10-01-2026 06:39 Seeing a strongman take the keys to the region’s socio-political-economic inclinations is ominously reminiscent of the darkest days of the recent past. It feels even more terrifying when the man with his finger on the button is Trump. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS The physics of power in Milei’s Argentina 26-12-2025 07:50 As the year enters its final stretch, spectators are looking to the Milei administration in order to figure out whether it will be able to deliver on multiple fronts, particularly whether it will manage to build a consensus in Congress. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Milei’s tactical retreat and the liquid contours of power 20-12-2025 08:48 Milei’s libertarians have grown in owned legislative muscle, they still need from circumstantial allies and provincial governors to pass legislation. by Agustino Fontevecchia
Analysing Argentina Wide open field for Milei 20-12-2025 07:44 A libertarian but not a “libertidiot,” as he likes to say, Milei seems to have picked security rather than risk for the new stage of his administration. It is a good choice. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Is Kast caste? 20-12-2025 07:31 While Bolivia, Honduras and now Chile have all swung right in recent voting, Trump’s pet candidate in each nation had problems riding the crest of the wave. by Michael Soltys
GUEST COLUMN Milei's law for (removing) glacier protection is a regressive reform 17-12-2025 23:56 The bill to amend the National Glacier Protection Law, would dismantle the minimalist regime which today protects glaciers and the periglacial perimeter, Argentina’s most important strategic water reserves.
OPINION & ANALYSIS Argentina needs a robust plan of national consensus 17-12-2025 16:28 Without an internal national consensus, assistance from the west is futile. With it, Argentina could become a success story once again.
ATTACK IN AUSTRALIA Ahmed al Ahmed and an indelible message to the world 16-12-2025 21:17 Ahmed al Ahmed had no obligation to risk his life as he did; he wasn't a police officer or a civil servant. He was simply a "true believer" in the human values of life, regardless of colour, sex, or religion. by Martín A. Morgenstern
OPINION & ANALYSIS Argentina, too big to fail? 13-12-2025 09:37 The sceptic in me wonders whether, given Trump’s personality and lust for sycophancy, the message could simply be: “Milei, too big to fail.” by David Smith
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS The curtain falls … and rises 13-12-2025 09:17 The new Senate has no less than 13 caucuses but the big picture has 21 senators responding directly to the Javier Milei administration, 26 in the Kirchnerite orbit, 14 in the centre-right and 11 heeding purely provincial interests. by Michael Soltys
LATIN AMERICA & GEOPOLITICS Machado, Trump and the contradictions of removing Maduro by force 13-12-2025 05:18 What kind of guarantees can a region with a history of far-right military dictatorships get from a United States that has shelved the democracy agenda in favour of throwing around its economic and geopolitical might? by Agustino Fontevecchia
INTELLIGENCE SERVICES Intelligence services adrift and under uncertain leadership 09-12-2025 17:05 In a region beginning to convulse due to the presence of United States troops in the Caribbean, with a latent threat from Iran against the country, the reshuffle at Argentina’s SIDE intelligence services once again lays bare an agency riddled with internal strife. by Walter Curia
Politics & football ‘Tiny’ Tapia follows in the footsteps of ‘Don Julio’ 06-12-2025 06:37 Tapia and the AFA scandal sit at the centre of a web of connections looping in almost the entire political ecosystem. It is under scrutiny by investigative journalists and the Judiciary, with the United States also paying attention. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS And so it (almost) ends 06-12-2025 06:00 Quite apart from the uncertainties over Lorena Villaverde’s Senate entry, Congress has been the scene of musical chairs with its first minority changing in the course of this week. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA The tectonic fracture of Argentina’s economy 29-11-2025 05:20 This is a game-changer for Argentina’s economy, anticipated for years and slowly happening. Milei has contributed to this outcome, but it is not solely the result of his actions. He is, however, the President that – if he does things right – will benefit from it. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Disunited provinces II 29-11-2025 05:13 La Libertad Avanza won in 15 of 23 provinces, including the largest, with Tucumán the most important outside the fold. Opposition candidates only enjoyed a clear lead in half their provinces won, although LLA margins were extremely slender in four of their 15 victories, including the main prize of Buenos Aires Province.
As I see it The world is becoming a more dangerous place 29-11-2025 05:02 Toeing the US line would be a simple matter if the man in charge knew where he was going and approached his goals in a consistent manner, but it so happens that hardly a day goes by without Trump changing his mind about something of strategic importance. by James Neilson
POLITICS – ANALYSIS High corruption in Argentina 29-11-2025 05:00 Two years into Javier Milei’s Presidency, there is a growing sense of impunity that by no means is his sole responsibility. It is reminiscent of moments of high corruption such as those seen in the latter Kirchnerite years. by Agustino Fontevecchia
OPINION & ANALYSIS Nothing to see here 26-11-2025 12:32 Milei's honeymoon moment – the election result in October – cooled the overheated mood in society, the media and among the political elite. by Javier Calvo
OPINION & ANALYSIS Milei, Thatcher and the English Mamdani 25-11-2025 12:51 Zack Polanski – an environmental activist, gay, vegan and former actor – is gaining ground among young voters in the UK, making Britain’s Labour Party nervous as it watches Nigel Farage’s far-right Reform Party grow. by Jorge Fontevecchia
Campaign comments Disunited provinces 22-11-2025 06:51 Looking at inland Argentina is far from irrelevant since tax reform is high on the list of President Javier Milei’s priorities with negotiating the revenue sensitivities of provincial governors perhaps the biggest obstacle there. by Michael Soltys
POLITICS – ANALYSIS Libertarian bliss and Macri’s shadow 15-11-2025 05:40 Macri felt invincible in the aftermath of the 2017 midterm victory, as does the President today. But hubris is a dangerous ailment for victorious politicians. by Agustino Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS From abyss to Olympus – and back down? 08-11-2025 06:49 For the time being, Javier Milei has been returned to the political Olympus, his reformist mandate restored, along with his energy. The question now is, where do we go from here? by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it The Big Apple sends a message to the world 08-11-2025 06:41 Though few people outside New York think Soviet-style communism is about to stage a comeback, resentment among the many who suspect they are surplus to requirements is clearly intensifying. by James Neilson
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Karina rules OK 08-11-2025 06:34 Karina Milei’s claim to the electoral laurels seems a slam dunk, but a different conclusion emerges once we look beyond the big picture to the provincial results. by Michael Soltys
OPINION & ANALYSIS Two abysses 05-11-2025 10:29 Society voted no twice. No to the future being offered by Milei (September) and no to the past offered by Peronism (October). Dissatisfaction with everybody. In not opting for the alternatives to polarisation, the voters gave an extra life to the government and Peronism. A respite. by Jorge Fontevecchia
POLITICS – ANALYSIS What to do with a problem like Cristina? 04-11-2025 13:58 For a decade now, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and those aligned with her have been — fairly or unfairly — a negative symbol for a majority of society. Just as there is a hard core who respect or idolise her, there are broad sectors who would never again vote for any candidate backed by her. by Gustavo González
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Javier Milei superstar 01-11-2025 06:40 Winning the election saved the administration from making immediate and desperate corrections from a position of weakness, but it does not save them from making changes altogether. by Marcelo J. García
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Two-faced Milei: a second chance, but also a risk for Argentina 01-11-2025 06:10 Will Milei take advantage of the opportunity he has been granted in order to pursue a constructive political and economic agenda? Or will he use his newfound power to double down on his plan with no corrections? by Agustino Fontevecchia
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Voters hand Milei belated birthday present, post-mortem for Peronism overdue 27-10-2025 00:21 Peronism’s renovation is well overdue. It seems Argentines would much rather carry on along Milei’s path of uncertainty and sacrifice than go back to reach the future. by James Grainger
ELECTION 2025: ANALYSIS Electoral blank cheque – is the worst version of Milei yet to come? 26-10-2025 23:45 It was a victory that neither the polls nor the government itself predicted expected, but it carries a danger: with it. Will the President radicalise further after receiving this vote of confidence? by Franco Lindner
ELECTIONS 2025: ANALYSIS Milei, the two Caputos and the two anchors 25-10-2025 06:08 Milei and the two Caputos have the path laid out for them. The “two anchors” that will give them a future are tied to applying the necessary adaptations to the economic policy plan and creating the conditions for circumstantial legislative majorities. This situation appears possible under any electoral scenario, even a potent Peronist victory. by Agustino Fontevecchia
As I see it Most countries are on death row 24-10-2025 21:07 Unless demographic trends change abruptly in the very near future, many other countries will precede Argentina on the path into the unknown. by James Neilson
ANALYSIS On raucous outsiders and statesmen 18-10-2025 06:47 The Milei administration has shown time and time again they lack the capacity to build sustainable political alliances and that stubbornness on the economic front has led to the repetition of mistakes from the recent past. The President has shown that when political momentum is on his side, he abuses good fortune to castigate political opponents and preach cultural war. by Agustino Fontevecchia
ANALYSING ARGENTINA Yankees come home 18-10-2025 06:26 Exactly 20 years ago next month, Washington silently retreated from the region. Now it’s coming back, in full swing. by Marcelo J. García
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS Trump card or joker in the pack? 18-10-2025 06:15 Milei’s government is confident of success in only seven of Argentina's 24 districts but this fails to point out that fears of defeat are also only limited to seven provinces, with the other 10 up in the air. by Michael Soltys
GUEST COLUMN Peace in the Middle East: Ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is not enough 17-10-2025 08:36 The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is not the last step, but the first step on a long road. by Marwan Gill
POLITICS & CORRUPTION Espert for President! 11-10-2025 06:00 José Luis Espert’s fall from grace was dramatic, portentous. In just a few weeks, he went from one of the pillars of Javier Milei’s government to a political outcast. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS ‘Panic Show’ name of the game 11-10-2025 06:00 We are told that the choice is “libertad or kirchnerismo” but neither libertarians nor Kirchnerism will be able to do very much with the 110 of the 257 seats accruing to whoever wins – Argentina’s middle ground has far less seats than Brazil’s "centrão" but could carry equivalent clout. by Michael Soltys
As I see it Two years after the pogrom 10-10-2025 16:27 Peace would have come to Gaza long ago if Hamas had returned the hundreds of hostages it seized on October 7. by James Neilson
POLITICS & CORRUPTION Espert and Machado’s murky history 08-10-2025 12:27 How the government’s main candidate in Buenos Aires Province became tainted by campaign contributions of dubious origin. by Rodis Recalt
GUEST COLUMN Will there be light after two years in Hamas’ tunnels? 07-10-2025 12:07 As we commemorate the second anniversary of the worst attack against Jews since the end of World War II, the return of the hostages is a priority.
POLITICS & CORRUPTION Espert's dirty financing 04-10-2025 06:45 On José Luis Espert’s ties with a suspected drug dealer and the libertarian obsession with coin. by Agustino Fontevecchia
CAMPAIGN COMMENTS A spooky Halloween earlier this month? 04-10-2025 06:38 To lay any claim to a positive result, pundits suggest that Milei would need to be the leading minority with at least 35 percent of the vote. The first objective looks like a done deal since LLA is the only nationwide contender. by Michael Soltys
ANALYSING ARGENTINA What comes after Javier Milei? 04-10-2025 06:22 The six governors who form the Provincias Unidas group are working on the assumption that Milei will not have a second term, just like his two predecessors. The question is what comes next? by Marcelo J. García
As I see it Milei gets a second chance 27-09-2025 06:50 Like dei ex machina, two of the world’s most powerful men decided to step in and save Argentina from the unhappy fate it was plunging towards. by James Neilson