Wednesday, May 29, 2024

WORLD | 03-09-2019 15:35

UK PM Johnson weakened by Tory party defections over Brexit

MPs returned from their summer recess to confront PM over his insistence that the United Kingdom leave the European Union on October 31, even without a withdrawal agreement to cushion the economic blow.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson suffered key defections from his party Tuesday, losing his working majority in Parliament and weakening his position as he tried to prevent lawmakers from blocking his Brexit plans.

On a day of high drama and acerbic debate in the House of Commons, lawmakers returned from their summer recess to confront Johnson over his insistence that the United Kingdom leave the European Union on October 31, even without a withdrawal agreement to cushion the economic blow. Many shouted, "Resign!"

As protesters on the streets outside Parliament denounced a "coup," the lawmakers turned to a key piece of legislation that would prevent an immediate no-deal Brexit. If it passes this week, Johnson's Downing Street office said he'll call an early election — taking his argument directly to the people for a third general election in four years.

"Enough is enough," Johnson said. "The country wants this done and they want the referendum respected. We are negotiating a deal and I am confident of getting a deal."

Tenuous position

Johnson's tenuous position became clear even as spoke in Parliament for the first time since it reconvened. Lawmaker Phillip Lee rose from his chair on the Conservative benches and sat down with the Liberal Democrats, a defection that meant Johnson lost his slim working majority.

That makes Johnson vulnerable should lawmakers opt to try to oust him in a vote of no confidence and will complicate passage of legislation.

Earlier Tuesday, two other prominent Conservatives signaled their intention not to seek re-election rather than bend to Johnson's will. Former Cabinet minister Justine Greening and former Foreign Office minister Alistair Burt also signaled their intention to stand down.

Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the main opposition Labour Party, lambasted the weakened Johnson, accusing him of "riding roughshod" over the constitution in order to crash Britain out of the EU without a deal.

"He isn't winning friends in Europe. He's losing friends at home. His is a government with no mandate, no morals and, as of today, no majority," Corbyn said.

Expulsion threats

Johnson, who became prime minister in July, has tried to crack down on members of his Conservative Party who oppose his Brexit plans, warning they would be expelled from the party if they supported parliamentary efforts to block or delay the withdrawal.

Dominic Grieve, who was attorney general in David Cameron's government, says the expulsion threats demonstrate Johnson's "ruthlessness." Greening said she feared her beloved party was "morphing into Nigel Farage's Brexit Party." Former Treasury chief Philip Hammond warned of the "fight of a lifetime" if officials tried to prevent him from running in the next election.

All three oppose Johnson, with Hammond saying he expected a procedural motion to take control of business. If it passed, a vote to block a no-deal would be considered Wednesday.

Changing the government would not be so simple, however. A no-confidence vote would spark a 14-day period in which Johnson could try to overturn the result. If he failed, there would be a general election.

During that key 14-day period, another lawmaker could try to win Parliament's backing in a vote. If they succeeded, Johnson should, in theory, have to step down and let the winner form a government.

But these rules were introduced in a 2011 law and have never been tested.


Above all, time is short. Johnson last week maneuvered to give his political opponents even less time to block a chaotic no-deal Brexit, getting Queen Elizabeth II's approval to suspend Parliament. His outraged critics sued, and attorneys arguing the case at a court in Scotland completed submissions Tuesday. The judge could render a decision as soon as Wednesday.

As Brexit faces crucial days, international investors are showing concern. The pound sterling fell as low as US$1.1960 on Tuesday, down about a cent on the day before, stabilising around US$1.1990.

That was its lowest level since a "flash crash" in October 2016, when uncertainty after the Brexit referendum was particularly high. Not counting that brief plunge — in which the currency fell to US$1.1789 for about two minutes before recovering — the pound is now at its lowest level in 34 years.

A no-deal Brexit is considered dangerous because it will sever decades of seamless trade with Europe's single market of 500 million people. Economists warn of disruptions in commerce, and the UN trade agency UNCTAD estimating Tuesday a no-deal Brexit will result in UK export losses of at least US$16 billion. Leaked government documents predicted disruptions to the supply of drugs and medicine, a decrease in the availability of fresh food and even potential fresh water shortages because of disruption to supplies of water treatment chemicals.

Johnson insists the potential for leaving without a deal must remain as a bargaining chip in negotiations with the EU.

No deal?

Though the EU is Britain's biggest trading partner, a no-deal Brexit would also be disruptive to Europe — a fact not lost on Brussels. Johnson's supporters said lawmakers were weakening the government's negotiating position with the EU.

"The one thing that has helped focus minds in the EU is that we're leaving come what may and we've got a very focused task of what a good deal would look like," Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab told ITV. "But the lingering doubt they've got is: Will the shenanigans in Parliament somehow lead to the cancellation or the delay of Brexit?

"That's encouraging them, and weakening our position to actually get the deal we all want."

The bloc is adamant it will not renegotiate the agreement struck with former Prime Minister Theresa May, which Johnson considers unacceptable.

Johnson has told French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel he could come up with a better alternative to the main sticking point in the stalled Brexit negotiations — the deadlock on the Irish border question.

Only 58 days from exit, the EU said Tuesday it had received no proposals from the British government aimed at overcoming the impasse.

European Commission spokeswoman Mina Andreeva said the EU's executive body, which supervises Brexit talks on behalf of Britain's 27 European partners, is operating on the "working assumption" that Britain will leave the bloc Oct. 31.

by DANICA KIRKA, Associated Press


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